Classification: TLP:CLEAR | Briefing Date: 2026-08-18 | Source: ransomware.live dark web leak site monitoring | Analyst: Security Arsenal — From The Dark Side
Executive Summary
Monitoring of the GLOBAL SECRET GROUP (GSG) dark web leak site confirms 3 new victim postings between 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-17, all US-based organizations spanning manufacturing, retail/e-commerce, and healthcare. While the volume is modest, the 4-day posting cadence and cross-sector opportunism are consistent with an intrusion-set model that monetizes whatever perimeter access its affiliates or initial access brokers (IABs) can acquire — rather than a vertically focused campaign. Organizations running Check Point Security Gateways, ConnectWise ScreenConnect, or externally exposed RDP should treat this briefing as an immediate patch-and-hunt trigger.
1. Threat Actor Profile — GLOBAL SECRET GROUP
| Attribute | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Aliases | Global Secret, GSG (internal chatter references) |
| Operating model | Ransomware-as-a-Service (RaaS) with a small affiliate pool; low victim counts suggest a closed or semi-closed operation rather than an open recruitment model |
| Extortion model | Double extortion — data exfiltrated and threatened for leak-site publication before/at encryption. Victim names are posted with countdown timers; non-payers have archives released in staged tranches |
| Typical ransom demands | Sector-scaled: estimated low-six to low-seven figures USD for SMB/mid-market victims; healthcare and manufacturing demands skew higher due to operational pressure |
| Initial access methods | Perimeter appliance exploitation (VPN/firewall CVEs), abused RMM tooling (notably ScreenConnect-class tooling per KEV correlations), exposed/brute-forced RDP, and phishing with macro or loader payloads |
| Dwell time | Estimated 5–14 days median from initial access to detonation, consistent with mid-tier RaaS affiliate operations; data staging typically begins 48–72 hours before encryption |
| Confidence note | GSG is a lower-volume actor with limited public reporting; profile elements marked as estimates carry moderate confidence and are drawn from leak-site behavior patterns and KEV correlations |
2. Current Campaign Analysis
Victimology (last 100 postings — 3 victims observed)
| Victim | Sector | Country | Posted |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Rubber Group | Manufacturing | US | 2026-08-17 |
| 4M REALTY COMPANY | Retail & E-Commerce | US | 2026-08-17 |
| Columbia University Information (Dental) | Healthcare | US | 2026-08-14 |
Key Observations
- Geographic concentration: 100% United States in this window. This is consistent with most mid-tier RaaS programs whose affiliates prioritize US victims for payment capacity and cyber-insurance coverage.
- Sector spread with no single vertical: Manufacturing, retail, and healthcare in a single week indicates opportunistic access monetization, not sector-specific targeting. This pattern strongly implies purchased or commodity initial access (IAB-sourced) rather than bespoke intrusion campaigns.
- Victim profile: Small-to-mid-market organizations (estimated revenue range ~$5M–$150M). GSG appears to deliberately avoid large-enterprise targets that attract law-enforcement attention, a common survivability strategy for smaller leak operations.
- Posting cadence: 2 victims posted on the same day (2026-08-17) suggests either batched negotiation failures or a deliberate pressure tactic to flood the leak site and signal momentum. Watch for a second wave within 7–10 days.
Initial Access Vector Correlation — CISA KEV
The following actively exploited CVEs align with GSG's observed access profile and should be treated as candidate intrusion paths for these victims:
- CVE-2026-50751 — Check Point Security Gateway improper authentication (IKEv1). Perimeter VPN appliance compromise is the single most probable entry point for opportunistic US-SMB victimology. Patch immediately; assume compromise if unpatched since 2026-06-08.
- CVE-2024-1708 — ConnectWise ScreenConnect path traversal → RCE. RMM abuse is a hallmark of mid-tier affiliates: it provides both initial access and a living-off-the-land persistence/lateral-movement channel.
- CVE-2026-48027 — Nx Console embedded malicious code. Supply-chain/developer-workstation entry; relevant to victims with in-house dev teams.
- CVE-2025-60710 — Windows link-following privilege escalation and CVE-2023-21529 — Exchange deserialization (authenticated RCE) map to post-access privilege escalation and mailbox/data staging rather than initial entry, but both appear in confirmed ransomware chains.
3. Detection Engineering
3.1 Sigma Rules
Three rules targeting GSG's probable kill chain: (1) RMM/RDP-style suspicious external remote access, (2) data staging via archive utilities, (3) pre-encryption shadow copy deletion — the classic pre-detonation signal.
---
title: Suspicious RMM Tool Execution - ScreenConnect and Cloned RMM Binaries
id: 8f2a1c4e-gsg-0001-4b7a-9d1e-rmm2026a01
status: experimental
description: Detects execution of ConnectWise ScreenConnect or commonly abused RMM tooling (frequently leveraged by mid-tier ransomware affiliates such as Global Secret Group for initial access and lateral movement) from non-standard paths or unsigned binaries.
author: Security Arsenal Threat Intelligence
date: 2026/08/18
references:
- https://securityarsenal.com/darkside
- https://www.cisa.gov/known-exploited-vulnerabilities-catalog
logsource:
category: process_creation
product: windows
detection_placeholder: none
detection:
selection_img:
Image|endswith:
- '\ScreenConnect.ClientService.exe'
- '\ScreenConnect.WindowsClient.exe'
- '\anydesk.exe'
- '\teamviewer.exe'
- '\splashtop.exe'
- '\atera_agent.exe'
- '\level.exe'
selection_path:
Image|contains:
- '\AppData\Local\Temp\'
- '\ProgramData\'
- '\Users\Public\'
- '\Windows\Temp\'
condition: selection_img and selection_path
falsepositives:
- Legitimate RMM deployments running from vendor-standard directories (tune path exclusions to your sanctioned RMM install path)
level: high
tags:
- attack.initial_access
- attack.t1133
- attack.command_and_control
- attack.t1219
---
title: Data Staging - Archive Utility Execution with High-Value Extensions Before Exfiltration
id: 8f2a1c4e-gsg-0002-4b7a-9d1e-stg2026a02
status: experimental
description: Detects command-line archive creation (7z, rar, winrar) targeting document/database extensions - a hallmark of ransomware double-extortion data staging observed in Global Secret Group-style operations 48-72h before encryption.
author: Security Arsenal Threat Intelligence
date: 2026/08/18
references:
- https://securityarsenal.com/darkside
logsource:
category: process_creation
product: windows
detection:
selection_bin:
Image|endswith:
- '\7z.exe'
- '\7za.exe'
- '\rar.exe'
- '\winrar.exe'
selection_args:
CommandLine|contains:
- ' a '
- ' -p'
- '.doc'
- '.xls'
- '.pdf'
- '.sql'
- '.bak'
- '.pst'
- '.zip'
- '\\*'
condition: all of selection_*
falsepositives:
- IT backup scripts and software packaging (baseline scheduled admin archiving activity)
level: medium
tags:
- attack.collection
- attack.t1560.001
- attack.exfiltration
---
title: Pre-Ransomware Shadow Copy and Backup Deletion
id: 8f2a1c4e-gsg-0003-4b7a-9d1e-vss2026a03
status: experimental
description: Detects Volume Shadow Copy deletion, backup catalog tampering, and boot recovery disabling - near-universal pre-encryption behavior in ransomware detonation chains including Global Secret Group affiliates.
author: Security Arsenal Threat Intelligence
date: 2026/08/18
references:
- https://securityarsenal.com/darkside
logsource:
category: process_creation
product: windows
detection:
selection_vss:
CommandLine|contains:
- 'vssadmin delete shadows'
- 'vssadmin Delete Shadows'
- 'wmic shadowcopy delete'
- 'bcdedit'
selection_vss_flags:
CommandLine|contains:
- '/all'
- '/quiet'
- 'recoveryenabled no'
- 'ignoreallfailures'
selection_wbem:
Image|endswith: '\wbadmin.exe'
CommandLine|contains: 'delete catalog'
condition: (selection_vss and selection_vss_flags) or selection_wbem
falsepositives:
- Rare; legitimate shadow administration is typically interactive and infrequent
level: critical
tags:
- attack.impact
- attack.t1490
- attack.defense_evasion
3.2 KQL — Microsoft Sentinel Hunt: Pre-Ransomware Staging & Lateral Movement
Hunts for the composite pattern typical of RaaS affiliate hands-on-keyboard activity in the 72h before detonation: remote service execution (PsExec/WMI), archive staging, and shadow copy tampering correlated per device.
// Global Secret Group-style pre-detonation hunt
// Correlates lateral movement + staging + anti-recovery per device in 72h window
let window = 72h;
let LateralMove =
DeviceProcessEvents
| where TimeGenerated > ago(window)
| where ProcessCommandLine has_any ("psexec", "\\ADMIN$", "wmic /node:", "winrm", "wmiexec")
or (FileName =~ "wmiprvse.exe" and InitiatingProcessFileName in~ ("powershell.exe","cmd.exe","rundll32.exe"))
| project DeviceName, LateralTime=TimeGenerated, LateralCmd=ProcessCommandLine;
let Staging =
DeviceProcessEvents
| where TimeGenerated > ago(window)
| where FileName in~ ("7z.exe","7za.exe","rar.exe","winrar.exe")
| where ProcessCommandLine has_any (" a ", "-p", ".doc", ".xls", ".sql", ".bak", ".pst")
| project DeviceName, StageTime=TimeGenerated, StageCmd=ProcessCommandLine;
let AntiRecovery =
DeviceProcessEvents
| where TimeGenerated > ago(window)
| where ProcessCommandLine has_any ("vssadmin delete shadows","shadowcopy delete","delete catalog","recoveryenabled no")
| project DeviceName, AntiRecTime=TimeGenerated, AntiRecCmd=ProcessCommandLine;
LateralMove
| join kind=inner Staging on DeviceName
| join kind=inner AntiRecovery on DeviceName
| extend KillChainScore = 3
| project DeviceName, LateralTime, LateralCmd, StageTime, StageCmd, AntiRecTime, AntiRecCmd, KillChainScore
| order by AntiRecTime desc;
// Any hit = treat as active intrusion, not ransomware "precursor" — isolate immediately
3.3 PowerShell — Rapid Triage: Scheduled Tasks, RDP Exposure & Shadow Copy State
Run on any host suspected of staging activity, or fleet-wide via your RMM/Intune during the 24h response window.
# Security Arsenal - GSG Rapid Triage Script (2026-08-18)
# Checks: new scheduled tasks (7d), RDP exposure, shadow copy integrity, suspicious RMM presence
$report = @{}
# 1) Scheduled tasks created in last 7 days (persistence check)
$cutoff = (Get-Date).AddDays(-7)
$report.NewTasks = Get-ScheduledTask | ForEach-Object {
$info = $_ | Get-ScheduledTaskInfo -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
[PSCustomObject]@{ Name=$_.TaskName; Path=$_.TaskPath; Author=$_.Author;
Action=($_.Actions | ForEach-Object { "$($_.Execute) $($_.Arguments)" }) -join ';' }
} | Where-Object { $_.Action -match 'powershell|cmd|rundll32|regsvr32|mshta|AppData|Temp' }
# 2) RDP exposure check
$rdpEnabled = (Get-ItemProperty 'HKLM:\SYSTEM\CurrentControlSet\Control\Terminal Server').fDenyTSConnections -eq 0
$rdpPort = (Get-ItemProperty 'HKLM:\SYSTEM\CurrentControlSet\Control\Terminal Server\WinStations\RDP-Tcp').PortNumber
$report.RDP = [PSCustomObject]@{ Enabled=$rdpEnabled; Port=$rdpPort;
NLA=(Get-ItemProperty 'HKLM:\SYSTEM\CurrentControlSet\Control\Terminal Server\WinStations\RDP-Tcp').UserAuthentication }
# 3) Shadow copy state (deletion = active or imminent detonation indicator)
$report.ShadowCopies = @(Get-CimInstance Win32_ShadowCopy -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue).Count
# 4) Unauthorized RMM binaries in suspicious paths
$susPaths = @("$env:ProgramData","$env:PUBLIC","$env:TEMP")
$rmmNames = 'screenconnect|anydesk|teamviewer|splashtop|atera|level|dwagent'
$report.SuspiciousRMM = foreach ($p in $susPaths) {
Get-ChildItem $p -Recurse -Include *.exe -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue |
Where-Object { $_.Name -match $rmmNames } | Select-Object FullName, CreationTime }
# 5) Recent failed logons (RDP brute-force signature)
$report.FailedLogons24h = (Get-WinEvent -FilterHashtable @{LogName='Security'; Id=4625; StartTime=(Get-Date).AddHours(-24)} -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue).Count
$report | ConvertTo-Json -Depth 5
# ACTION: If ShadowCopies -eq 0 AND FailedLogons24h -gt 500 -> isolate host, escalate to IR immediately
4. Incident Response Priorities
T-Minus Detection Checklist (before encryption fires)
- New local/domain admin accounts created outside change control
- Archive utilities (7z/rar) executing against file shares, mailboxes (.pst), or database backups
- Outbound transfers >2GB to unfamiliar cloud storage, MEGA/file.io-class services, or raw IPs
-
vssadmin delete shadows,bcdedit ... recoveryenabled no, orwbadmin delete catalogexecution - PsExec/WMI/WinRM service execution fan-out from a single workstation (patient-zero lateral movement)
- ScreenConnect or other RMM agents present that are not in your sanctioned software inventory
- Mass file renames or entropy spikes on NAS/file-server volumes (early encryption beaconing)
Critical Assets GSG-Style Actors Prioritize for Exfiltration
Given double extortion with leak-site countdowns, expect theft of: finance/AR-AP records, HR/PII files, customer databases, email archives (.pst), and (for healthcare victims) patient records. Manufacturing victims should assume CAD/process IP is in scope. The leak-site countdown means the data was out before you saw the ransom note.
Containment Actions — Ordered by Urgency
- Isolate affected hosts and subnets at the switch/EDR level — do not power off (preserve memory).
- Disable the suspected ingress path: force-reset all VPN/local admin credentials; take the compromised RMM instance offline; block ScreenConnect relay domains if unauthorized.
- Revoke sessions enterprise-wide (tokens, Kerberos via double
krbtgtreset if domain compromise is confirmed). - Preserve evidence: memory capture on patient zero, VPN/firewall logs, RMM connection logs — these determine the access vector for KEV correlation.
- Engage IR and legal/comms before any attacker contact; healthcare entities must assess breach-notification obligations (HIPAA) immediately given exfiltration.
- Snapshot-verify backups offline before restoration; assume backup infrastructure was a target.
5. Hardening Recommendations
Immediate (24 hours)
- Patch Check Point Security Gateway (CVE-2026-50751) or disable IKEv1 where feasible. If the gateway was unpatched since June 2026, initiate a compromise assessment on it — do not assume absence of evidence equals absence of intrusion.
- Patch/audit ConnectWise ScreenConnect (CVE-2024-1708) and inventory every RMM binary in the environment; block all non-sanctioned RMM at the egress proxy and via AppLocker/WDAC.
- Disable internet-exposed RDP. Enforce VPN + MFA + NLA; alert on >50 failed 4625 events per source IP per hour.
- Enable tamper protection and block shadow copy deletion for non-SYSTEM contexts via EDR custom rules.
- Deploy the three Sigma rules above to your SIEM this shift.
Short-Term (2 weeks)
- Patch Exchange (CVE-2023-21529) and Windows (CVE-2025-60710); if on-prem Exchange is internet-facing and past due, treat as a priority-1 exposure.
- Segment backup infrastructure onto a separate admin tier with immutable/offline copies; ransomware actors target backup catalogs first.
- Deploy egress DLP/transfer anomaly detection — double extortion means the exfil window (48–72h pre-detonation) is your last reliable intervention point.
- Macro and script hardening: block Office macros from internet-sourced files (Mark-of-the-Web), constrain PowerShell via Constrained Language Mode for non-admin users, and audit developer tooling integrity in light of the Nx supply-chain CVE.
- Tabletop a double-extortion scenario with legal, comms, and cyber-insurance counsel — leak-site negotiation timelines compress decision-making.
This briefing is based on live dark web leak-site monitoring via ransomware.live and CISA KEV correlation as of 2026-08-18. Victim postings do not independently confirm compromise details; assessments reflect observed actor patterns and carry the confidence levels noted above.
Related Resources
Security Arsenal Incident Response Managed SOC & MDR Services AlertMonitor Threat Detection From The Dark Side Intel Hub
Is your security operations ready?
Get a free SOC assessment or see how AlertMonitor cuts through alert noise with automated triage.