Intelligence Briefing Date: 2026-06-29
Analyst: Security Arsenal Threat Intelligence Unit
Source: Ransomware.live / Qilin Leak Site
Threat Actor Profile — QILIN
- Aliases: Agenda, Qilin.
- Operational Model: Ransomware-as-a-Service (RaaS). Qilin operates an affiliate model that recruits skilled penetration testers to conduct initial access and lateral movement.
- Ransom Demands: Highly variable, typically ranging from $500,000 to $5 million USD, dependent on victim revenue and encrypted data volume.
- Initial Access Vectors: Historically favors compromised credentials (phishing/infostealer logs) and exploitation of external-facing perimeter appliances (VPNs, Firewalls, Remote Management Tools). Current intelligence indicates a heavy pivot to exploiting CVEs in Check Point Security Gateways and ConnectWise ScreenConnect.
- Tactics: Double extortion (encryption + data theft). Known to exfiltrate large volumes via Rclone or Mega.nz prior to detonation. They utilize Rust-based payloads to evade AV detection.
- Average Dwell Time: 3–7 days. Qilin affiliates typically spend 48 hours conducting reconnaissance and credential dumping before moving to encryption.
Current Campaign Analysis
Sector & Geographic Focus
Based on the last 14 postings (June 23–29, 2026), Qilin has diversified its target profile significantly:
-
Targeted Sectors:
- Manufacturing (Kunert Fashion, Metal Sur Famin): High frequency targeting suggests affiliates are exploiting legacy OT/IT networks.
- Education (Musashino University): Continues to be a soft target for data extortion.
- Telecommunications (Gsma): Indicates a drive for high-impact network access.
- Agriculture & Food (Lam Soon, NASCO): Targeting critical logistics providers.
- Consumer Services & Financial (1-800-dentist, Cash Canada).
-
Geographic Concentration:
- Global Spread: Activity is distributed across DE, JP, FR, AR, TH, GB, CZ, US, GR, CA, and KR.
- Western Focus: Heavy emphasis on US, UK, and EU entities (Germany, France), suggesting availability of exploit kits tailored to Western network infrastructure or time-zone-based operational security.
Victim Profile & Escalation
- Victim Size: Mix of mid-market (e.g., Bristol Place) and large enterprise (e.g., Gsma, Transcore).
- Escalation Pattern: A sharp increase in posting frequency was observed on June 29, with 3 victims published simultaneously. This "bulk" posting often indicates an automated release mechanism or the end of a negotiation window for multiple concurrent victims.
CVE Correlation (Initial Access)
The recent victimology aligns with the active exploitation of the following CISA KEVs:
- CVE-2026-50751 (Check Point Security Gateway): Given the targeting of large manufacturing and telecom entities (who rely on Check Point), this CVE is a likely primary vector for initial network border breaching.
- CVE-2024-1708 (ConnectWise ScreenConnect): This remote code execution vulnerability is being used to gain persistent access via managed service providers (MSPs) or internal IT support channels.
- CVE-2026-20131 (Cisco Secure Firewall FMC): Exploitation allows attackers to modify firewall rules to allow for C2 traffic exfiltration, bypassing standard perimeter defenses.
Detection Engineering
SIGMA Rules
YAML
title: Potential Check Point VPN IKEv1 Exploitation Attempt
description: Detects potential exploitation of CVE-2026-50751 involving abnormal IKEv1 packet floods or authentication failures on VPN gateways.
references:
- https://cisa.gov/known-exploited-vulnerabilities-catalog
author: Security Arsenal
date: 2026/06/29
status: experimental
tags:
- attack.initial_access
- cve.2026.50751
logsource:
category: firewall
definition:
condition: selection
fields:
- SrcIP
- DstIP
- Protocol
falsepositives:
- Legitimate VPN misconfigurations
level: high
selection:
Protocol|contains: 'IKE'
Message|contains:
'IKEv1'
'authentication failure'
'invalid spi'
count|gt: 100
---
title: Suspicious VSSAdmin Shadow Copy Deletion
description: Detects the usage of vssadmin.exe to delete shadow copies, a common precursor to Qilin ransomware encryption.
references:
- https://attack.mitre.org/techniques/T1490/
author: Security Arsenal
date: 2026/06/29
status: experimental
tags:
- attack.impact
- attack.t1490
logsource:
category: process_creation
product: windows
definition:
condition: selection
fields:
- CommandLine
- User
falsepositives:
- System administrator maintenance
level: critical
selection:
Image|endswith: '\vssadmin.exe'
CommandLine|contains: 'delete shadows'
---
title: ConnectWise ScreenConnect Webshell Activity
description: Detects potential webshell access or path traversal exploitation (CVE-2024-1708) associated with Qilin initial access.
references:
- https://cisa.gov/known-exploited-vulnerabilities-catalog
author: Security Arsenal
date: 2026/06/29
status: experimental
tags:
- attack.initial_access
- attack.web_shell
- cve.2024.1708
logsource:
category: web
definition:
condition: selection
fields:
- cs_uri_query
- c_ip
falsepositives:
- Legitimate ScreenConnect administration
level: high
selection:
cs_uri_query|contains:
- 'Guest'
- '..\'
- '.aspx?'
cs_method:
- POST
- GET
KQL (Microsoft Sentinel)
KQL — Microsoft Sentinel / Defender
// Hunt for lateral movement and pre-ransomware staging
// Look for PsExec, WMI, and suspicious PowerShell usage often used by Qilin
DeviceProcessEvents
| where Timestamp >= ago(7d)
| where FileName in~ ("psexec.exe", "psexec64.exe", "wmic.exe", "powershell.exe")
| where (ProcessCommandLine contains "-enc" or ProcessCommandLine contains "\\\\\\\\" or ProcessCommandLine contains "Invoke-")
or (FileName in~ ("psexec.exe", "psexec64.exe") and ProcessCommandLine contains "-accepteula")
| project Timestamp, DeviceName, AccountName, FileName, ProcessCommandLine, InitiatingProcessFileName
| order by Timestamp desc
PowerShell Response Script
PowerShell
<#
.SYNOPSIS
Qilin Ransomware Rapid Response Check
.DESCRIPTION
Checks for recent scheduled tasks (Qilin persistence), VSS shadow copy status, and unusual network connections.
#>
Write-Host "[*] Checking for Scheduled Tasks created in the last 7 days..." -ForegroundColor Cyan
Get-ScheduledTask | Where-Object {
$_.Date -gt (Get-Date).AddDays(-7) -and $_.Author -notlike "*Microsoft*" -and $_.Author -notlike "*System*"
} | Select-Object TaskName, Author, Date, Actions | Format-Table -AutoSize
Write-Host "[*] Checking Volume Shadow Copy Storage status..." -ForegroundColor Cyan
$vss = vssadmin list shadows
if ($vss -match "No shadow copies found") {
Write-Host "[!] WARNING: No Shadow Copies found. Potential deletion occurred." -ForegroundColor Red
} else {
Write-Host "[+] Shadow Copies present." -ForegroundColor Green
}
Write-Host "[*] Checking for unusual listening ports (Common C2)..." -ForegroundColor Cyan
Get-NetTCPConnection -State Listen -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue |
Where-Object { $_.LocalPort -gt 1024 -and $_.OwningProcess -ne 0 } |
Select-Object LocalAddress, LocalPort, OwningProcess | Format-Table -AutoSize
---
Incident Response Priorities
T-Minus Detection Checklist
- Hunt for Webshells: Scan web servers for
aspx,jsp, orphpfiles modified in the last 48 hours containing obfuscated code (potential CVE-2024-1708 or CVE-2026-48027 artifacts). - VPN Audit: Review Check Point / Cisco FMC logs for spikes in failed IKEv1 handshakes or successful admin logins from unfamiliar geolocations (CVE-2026-50751 / CVE-2026-20131).
- PowerShell Logs: Scrutinize Event ID 4104 (Script Block Logging) for
Invoke-AESCBCorIEXcommands associated with Qilin droppers.
Critical Assets for Exfiltration
Based on the Qilin playbook observed in Kunert and Gsma incidents:
- Customer Databases: PII and billing records (highest leverage for extortion).
- CAD/CAM Files: Intellectual property in Manufacturing victims (e.g., Metal Sur Famin).
- Employee Directories: HR data for targeted phishing follow-ups.
Containment Actions
- Isolate: Immediately segment VPN concentrators and jump servers from the internal core network.
- Disable: Temporarily disable ConnectWise ScreenConnect services on all endpoints if unpatched against CVE-2024-1708.
- Suspend: Suspend all non-essential service accounts, especially those with privileged access identified in recent AD logs.
Hardening Recommendations
Immediate (24 Hours)
- Patch Critical CVEs: Apply patches for CVE-2026-50751 (Check Point) and CVE-2024-1708 (ConnectWise) immediately. If patching is not possible, disable vulnerable services (e.g., IKEv1) or enforce strict network allow-listing.
- MFA Enforcement: Ensure Multi-Factor Authentication is enforced on all VPN, Remote Desktop, and Email gateways.
- Block RDP: Block inbound RDP (TCP 3389) from the internet at the perimeter firewall.
Short-term (2 Weeks)
- Network Segmentation: Implement micro-segmentation to limit lateral movement from the DMZ/VPN segments to the Production/LAN environments.
- EDR Deployment: Ensure Endpoint Detection and Response (EDR) coverage is 100% across manufacturing and telecom sectors, specifically monitoring for PowerShell obfuscation.
- VSS Hardening: Implement policies to protect Volume Shadow Copies (e.g., using specialized VSS drivers or restricted ACLs).
Related Resources
Security Arsenal Incident Response Managed SOC & MDR Services AlertMonitor Threat Detection From The Dark Side Intel Hub
darkwebransomware-gangqilinqilin-ransomwareransomware-as-a-servicemanufacturing-sectoreducation-sectorvpn-exploitation
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