Classification: TLP:CLEAR | Publication Date: 2026-09-14 | Analyst: Security Arsenal Dark Side Intelligence Cell
Security Arsenal monitoring of the SAFEPAY dark web leak site via ransomware.live confirms a sustained multi-sector campaign: 11 new victim postings between 2026-09-08 and 2026-09-11, spanning 8 countries and 7 sector classifications. Posting tempo indicates an active affiliate cohort operating in parallel, with a distinct burst pattern (10 postings on a single day) consistent with batch victim disclosure after stalled negotiations.
1. Threat Actor Profile — SAFEPAY
| Attribute | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Aliases | SAFEPAY (stylized), occasionally indexed by trackers as SafePay RaaS |
| Operational Model | Closed/semi-private RaaS. Unlike open affiliate programs (e.g., LockBit-style recruiting on XSS/Exploit), SAFEPAY maintains a vetted affiliate roster with centralized leak-site administration. Operators handle negotiation; affiliates handle intrusion. |
| Ransom Demands | Typically 1–3% of estimated annual revenue; observed range USD $150K–$2.5M against mid-market targets. Demands escalate after the 7-day public countdown expires on the leak site. |
| Initial Access Methods | Perimeter exploitation (VPN gateways, firewall management planes), exposed RDP with weak/cred-stuffed authentication, and phishing with macro-enabled lures. Recent KEV additions align strongly with their playbook: VMware vCenter path traversal, Cisco FMC hard-coded credentials, and Check Point IKEv1 auth bypass. |
| Extortion Model | Double extortion: exfiltration-first via Rclone/MEGA, encryption second. Leak site posts include file-tree screenshots and sample data dumps. |
| Dwell Time | Median 5–9 days from initial access to detonation; 3–5 additional days before leak-site publication if payment is refused. |
Analyst note: SAFEPAY's operational discipline (consistent leak-site formatting, punctual countdown timers, negotiated payment portals) suggests an experienced core team rather than opportunistic affiliates.
2. Current Campaign Analysis
Sector Targeting
| Sector | Victims (last 100 postings window) |
|---|---|
| Professional Services | 3 (assiprime.it, gsngestion.es, hbpro.pt) |
| Healthcare | 2 (palmettoeyeinstitute.com, recoverycafe.org) |
| Manufacturing | 2 (cenmar-manila.com, mcnishsteel.com) |
| Technology | 1 (compunnel.com) |
| Agriculture & Food Production | 1 (gayafores.es) |
| Other / Not Found | 2 (reichenau.at, cannonpuntana.com) |
Professional services and healthcare lead — classic SAFEPAY economics: data-rich, downtime-intolerant, mid-market organizations with limited SOC coverage.
Geographic Concentration
US (3), ES (2), and single victims in AT, AR, IT, PH, PT, CA. No CIS-region victims — consistent with the standard ransomware geopolitical exclusion pattern. Southern Europe (ES/IT/PT cluster) accounted for 4 of 11 victims, suggesting an affiliate with regional language fluency or an access broker selling Iberian/Italian perimeter credentials.
Victim Profile
All identified victims are mid-market: estimated 50–1,500 employees, USD $10M–$250M revenue. No Fortune-500-scale entries — SAFEPAY deliberately targets organizations large enough to pay meaningful ransoms but small enough to lack 24/7 detection. Healthcare victims (an eye institute and a nonprofit recovery organization) indicate no moral exclusions in targeting policy.
Posting Frequency / Escalation Pattern
The 2026-09-08 batch dump (10 postings in 24h) followed by a single posting on 2026-09-11 indicates a negotiation-deadline-driven disclosure cadence rather than continuous compromise. Expect a second wave within 7–10 days as the next countdown cohort expires.
CVE Correlation — Probable Initial Access Vectors
The following CISA KEV entries map directly to infrastructure classes SAFEPAY affiliates are known to probe:
- CVE-2026-59310 — Broadcom VMware vCenter path traversal (KEV 2026-08-18). vCenter compromise enables direct hypervisor-level deployment of encryptors against ESXi datastores — the highest-impact initial access path in this campaign. Prioritize immediately.
- CVE-2026-20316 — Cisco Secure FMC hard-coded password (KEV 2026-07-29). Management-plane takeover provides lateral reconnaissance of the entire firewall estate and credential harvesting opportunities.
- CVE-2026-50751 — Check Point Security Gateway improper authentication in IKEv1 (KEV 2026-06-08). Direct perimeter VPN bypass — the most probable entry vector for the professional-services victims lacking mature patch SLAs.
- CVE-2026-48027 — Nx Console embedded malicious code (KEV 2026-05-27). Supply-chain developer-workstation vector relevant to the technology-sector victim (compunnel.com, an IT staffing/services firm with engineering headcount).
- CVE-2024-1708 — ConnectWise ScreenConnect path traversal/RCE (KEV 2026-04-28). Persistent favorite for MSP-adjacent intrusion; any org using ScreenConnect for remote support must treat this as a standing exposure.
Assessment (moderate confidence): The Southern European cluster aligns with perimeter-VPN exploitation (CVE-2026-50751), while the US technology victim fits the Nx supply-chain or ScreenConnect patterns. Verify patch posture against all five CVEs regardless of sector.
3. Detection Engineering
Sigma Rules
---
title: SAFEPAY - Suspicious VPN/Firewall Management Authentication Anomaly
id: 7a1f3c2e-9b4d-4e5a-a1c3-9f2d8b6e4a01
status: production
description: Detects anomalous successful authentication to perimeter VPN or firewall management interfaces from unusual source geographies or outside baseline hours - consistent with SAFEPAY initial access via CVE-2026-50751 / CVE-2026-20316
author: Security Arsenal Dark Side Intel
logsource:
category: authentication
product: vpn
detection:
selection_success:
EventID:
- 'success'
- 'login_success'
AuthenticationResult: 'success'
filter_baseline:
SourceGeo:
- 'corporate-expected'
condition: selection_success and not filter_baseline
fields:
- SourceIp
- UserName
- SourceGeo
- TargetDevice
falsepositives:
- Traveling executives on roaming connections
- Third-party MSP access from contracted regions
level: high
tags:
- attack.initial_access
- attack.t1133
- attack.t1190
date: 2026/09/14
---
title: SAFEPAY - Rclone Data Exfiltration to Cloud Storage
id: 8b2e4d3f-0c5e-5f6b-b2d4-0a3e9c7f5b02
status: production
description: Detects Rclone execution with remote configuration or copy/sync commands - SAFEPAY affiliates stage victim data via Rclone to MEGA and similar providers prior to encryption
author: Security Arsenal Dark Side Intel
logsource:
category: process_creation
product: windows
detection:
selection_img:
Image|endswith:
- '\rclone.exe'
- '\rclone'
selection_cmd:
CommandLine|contains:
- ' copy '
- ' sync '
- ' move '
- 'mega:'
- '--config'
- '--transfers'
condition: selection_img and selection_cmd
fields:
- Image
- CommandLine
- ParentImage
- User
falsepositives:
- Legitimate backup orchestration using Rclone (allowlist by path and service account)
level: critical
tags:
- attack.exfiltration
- attack.t1567.002
- attack.t1048
date: 2026/09/14
---
title: SAFEPAY - Pre-Encryption Staging - VSS Deletion and PsExec Lateral Movement
id: 9c3f5e4a-1d6f-6a7c-c3e5-1b4f0d8a6c03
status: production
description: Detects Volume Shadow Copy deletion combined with PsExec/WMI remote execution patterns observed in SAFEPAY detonation phase - high-confidence pre-encryption indicator
author: Security Arsenal Dark Side Intel
logsource:
category: process_creation
product: windows
detection:
selection_vss:
- Image|endswith: '\vssadmin.exe'
CommandLine|contains:
- 'delete shadows'
- 'Delete Shadows'
- Image|endswith: '\wmic.exe'
CommandLine|contains: 'shadowcopy delete'
- Image|endswith: '\bcdedit.exe'
CommandLine|contains:
- 'recoveryenabled no'
- 'ignoreallfailures'
selection_psexec:
Image|endswith:
- '\psexec.exe'
- '\psexesvc.exe'
- '\paexec.exe'
CommandLine|contains:
- '\\ADMIN$'
condition: 1 of selection_*
fields:
- Image
- CommandLine
- ParentImage
- User
- ComputerName
falsepositives:
- Enterprise backup agents performing snapshot rotation (rare with delete-all syntax)
- IT admin PsExec usage - allowlist approved admin hosts
level: critical
tags:
- attack.impact
- attack.t1490
- attack.lateral_movement
- attack.t1021.002
- attack.t1569.002
date: 2026/09/14
KQL Hunt — Microsoft Sentinel
// SAFEPAY pre-ransomware staging hunt: lateral movement + exfil staging correlation
// Look for hosts showing BOTH suspicious remote execution AND large outbound transfers within a 24h window
let TimeWindow = 24h;
let SuspectHosts =
DeviceProcessEvents
| where TimeGenerated > ago(7d)
| where ProcessCommandLine has_any ("psexec", "\\ADMIN$", "wmiexec", "shadowcopy delete", "delete shadows", "recoveryenabled no")
or FileName in~ ("psexec.exe", "psexesvc.exe", "rclone.exe")
| summarize
StagingEvents = count(),
StagingCommands = make_set(ProcessCommandLine, 10),
FirstSeen = min(TimeGenerated),
LastSeen = max(TimeGenerated)
by DeviceName, InitiatingProcessAccountName;
DeviceNetworkEvents
| where TimeGenerated > ago(7d)
| where RemoteUrl has_any ("mega.nz", "mega.co", "dropbox", "temp.sh", "transfer.sh", "file.io")
or (ActionType == "ConnectionSuccess" and RemotePort in (443, 21, 22) and RemoteIPType == "Public")
| summarize
NetEvents = count(),
RemoteDestinations = make_set(RemoteUrl, 15)
by DeviceName
| join kind=inner SuspectHosts on DeviceName
| project DeviceName, InitiatingProcessAccountName, StagingEvents, NetEvents, RemoteDestinations, FirstSeen, LastSeen
| order by StagingEvents desc;
PowerShell Rapid-Response Script
# SAFEPAY Rapid Triage: expose perimeter + staging indicators in under 5 minutes
# Run as elevated user on a domain-joined admin workstation
$Report = @()
$Cutoff = (Get-Date).AddDays(-7)
Write-Host "=== [1/4] Exposed RDP / remote access listening ports ===" -ForegroundColor Cyan
Get-NetTCPConnection -State Listen | Where-Object { $_.LocalPort -in 3389,5985,5986,22 } |
ForEach-Object { $Report += [PSCustomObject]@{Check="RemoteAccessPort"; Detail="Port $($_.LocalPort) listening on $($_.LocalAddress)"; Risk="High"} }
Write-Host "=== [2/4] Scheduled tasks created in last 7 days (persistence) ===" -ForegroundColor Cyan
Get-ScheduledTask | Where-Object { $_.Date -and ([datetime]$_.Date) -gt $Cutoff -and $_.TaskPath -notlike '\Microsoft*' } |
ForEach-Object { $Report += [PSCustomObject]@{Check="NewScheduledTask"; Detail="$($_.TaskName) | $($_.TaskPath) | Created $($_.Date)"; Risk="Medium"} }
Write-Host "=== [3/4] Volume Shadow Copy status ===" -ForegroundColor Cyan
$Shadows = Get-CimInstance Win32_ShadowCopy -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
if (-not $Shadows) { $Report += [PSCustomObject]@{Check="VSS"; Detail="NO shadow copies present - possible anti-recovery tampering"; Risk="Critical"} }
else { $Shadows | ForEach-Object { $Report += [PSCustomObject]@{Check="VSS"; Detail="Shadow present: $($_.ID) created $($_.InstallDate)"; Risk="Info"} } }
Write-Host "=== [4/4] Suspicious staging/exfil tooling in common paths ===" -ForegroundColor Cyan
$Tools = @('rclone.exe','psexec.exe','psexesvc.exe','7z.exe','winrar.exe','megacmd.exe')
foreach ($Path in @('C:\Users','C:\ProgramData','C:\Windows\Temp','C:\Temp')) {
if (Test-Path $Path) {
Get-ChildItem -Path $Path -Recurse -Include $Tools -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue -Depth 4 |
Where-Object { $_.LastWriteTime -gt $Cutoff } |
ForEach-Object { $Report += [PSCustomObject]@{Check="StagingTool"; Detail="$($_.FullName) | Modified $($_.LastWriteTime)"; Risk="High"} }
}
}
$Report | Format-Table -AutoSize
$Report | Export-Csv -Path ".\safepay_triage_$(Get-Date -Format 'yyyyMMdd_HHmm').csv" -NoTypeInformation
Write-Host "Report exported. Investigate any Critical/High findings before proceeding." -ForegroundColor Yellow
4. Incident Response Priorities — SAFEPAY Playbook
T-Minus Detection Checklist (Before Encryption Fires)
- Unusual successful VPN authentications outside baseline geography/hours — especially on Check Point, Cisco FMC, or legacy SSL-VPN appliances.
- vCenter/ESXi anomalous logins or new admin session creation (CVE-2026-59310 exploitation precursor).
- Rclone/MEGA/7-Zip processes on servers or file shares — exfil precedes encryption by 24–72h.
- Bulk file enumeration against shares (thousands of reads/minute from a single host).
- VSS deletion, bcdedit tampering, backup agent service stops — detonation is typically <2h away at this stage.
- PsExec service installs across multiple hosts in rapid succession — encryptor staging.
Critical Assets SAFEPAY Prioritizes for Exfiltration
- Financial records, payroll, and tax filings (leverage in negotiation)
- HR/personnel files with PII (regulatory pressure multiplier)
- Healthcare: patient records and imaging archives (HIPAA leverage)
- Contracts, legal correspondence, and client lists
- Backup repositories and disaster recovery configs (destroyed post-exfil)
Containment Actions — Ordered by Urgency
- Isolate at the switch/NAC level, not just EDR — SAFEPAY tooling often disables endpoint agents before detonation.
- Disable compromised VPN/firewall management access immediately; force credential rotation for all remote-access accounts, prioritizing admin and service accounts.
- Block egress to consumer cloud storage (MEGA, file.io, transfer.sh) at the proxy to sever exfil mid-stream.
- Protect vCenter/ESXi management plane — isolate, snapshot current state for forensics, verify datastore integrity.
- Snapshot forensic state (memory, prefetch, USN journal, VPN/firewall logs) before remediation overwrites evidence.
- Do NOT power off encrypted hosts — capture memory first; SAFEPAY note artifacts and negotiation IDs are volatile.
5. Hardening Recommendations
Immediate (24 Hours)
- Patch or mitigate the five KEV CVEs: VMware vCenter (CVE-2026-59310), Cisco FMC (CVE-2026-20316), Check Point Gateway (CVE-2026-50751), Nx Console (CVE-2026-48027 — remove/rollback malicious versions), ConnectWise ScreenConnect (CVE-2024-1708). Where patching is not possible, remove the management interface from internet exposure entirely.
- Enforce MFA on all remote access — VPN, RDP gateways, and firewall management planes. No exceptions for service accounts; convert those to certificate-based auth.
- Block egress to consumer file-sharing services and alert on Rclone/7-Zip/WinRAR execution outside approved backup paths.
- Deploy the Sigma rules above and run the KQL hunt across the last 30 days of telemetry.
- Verify offline/immutable backups exist and test one restore today — SAFEPAY actively destroys online backup repositories.
Short-Term (2 Weeks)
- Segment hypervisor management (vCenter, ESXi host interfaces) onto a dedicated, jump-host-gated VLAN unreachable from user subnets.
- Deploy canary file shares with honeytoken documents wired to high-fidelity alerts for bulk-read behavior.
- Implement application allowlisting (WDAC/AppLocker) on servers, denying unsigned binaries in user-writable paths — kills the standard
C:\ProgramDataandC:\Users\Publicstaging pattern. - Restrict lateral movement protocols: limit SMB admin-share access and WinRM to defined admin hosts via host firewall policy.
- Contract 24/7 monitoring or MDR if you match the SAFEPAY victim profile (mid-market, healthcare/professional services/manufacturing) — their median dwell time of 5–9 days means detection beats prevention as your primary defense.
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